Saturday, September 12, 2020

MUST READ!!-----Did a Math Error Lead to the Never-Ending COVID-19 Lockdowns?

Did a Math Error Lead to the Never-Ending COVID-19 Lockdowns?:
"...The National Center of Health Statistics (NCHS) relaxed the guidelines for classifying a death as COVID-19. 
It did not require a confirmed test or any other medical documentation to use the COVID-19 ICD-10 code on the death certificate.
The latest update encourages testing wherever possible, but still does not require a lab-confirmed test.
Combine the relaxed stance from the NCHS with the financial incentives provided to hospitals for COVID-19 care through the CARES Act, and it’s not a conspiracy theory to think death rates may be overstated. 
    See the source image
  • ...Fauci used the IFR to describe the seasonal flu and the H1N1 pandemic. 
  • He used the CFR to describe COVID-19. 
This error led him to estimate that COVID-19 would be ten times deadlier than the flu, which drove public policy.
Brown also called out the classification error of referring to all positive tests as “cases.”
This error is constant in the media.
...It has also led to the word “cases” being redefined to mean people who are sick with COVID-19, as well as people who display no symptoms.
A positive test puts you in that category even though the test is so sensitive that as often as 90% of the time it picks of virus incapable of causing transmission of infection.
Even worse, the media still does not delineate the risks to various segments of the population.
They also don’t discuss where the majority of new cases are occurring.
This metric is vital to assess health system resources.
If the majority of cases are in people under 40, the risk to the system remains low.
So, thanks to a false comparison, we closed schools, colleges, and pretty much everything else.
...The conflation of CFR and IFR at the outset of the pandemic was a mistake that likely cost billions of dollars and an untold number of lives when we consider increases in suicide and deaths from undetected diseases, which will lag.
The public health apparatus owes the country an answer on this and an assurance it won’t happen again."

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