No one trusts the FBI!-----What the Stats Really Say About Crime Surge | RealClearPolitics

The National Crime Victimization Survey shows violent crime surged 59%, with rape and sexual assault up 67%, robbery up 38%, and aggravated assault up 62%.  - John R. Lott Jr.

During last year’s presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, Trump said violent crime was rising. ABC moderator David Muir immediately fact-checked him, claiming, “President Trump, as you know, the FBI says overall violent crime is coming down in this country…”
Nearly every major media outlet echoed that narrative. 

• National Public Radio ran the headline, “Violent crime is dropping fast in the U.S. – even if Americans don’t believe it.” 
• The Wall Street Journal declared, “Violent Crime Rate Falls Sharply After Pandemic Surge.” 
• Vox insisted, “Violent crime is plummeting.” 
• Axios reported, “New data shows violent crime dropping sharply in major U.S. cities.”

However, a new Bureau of Justice Statistics report, which includes data through 2024, shows that Trump was right during the debate when he said, “Crime here is up and through the roof.” 

The National Crime Victimization Survey shows violent crime surged 59%, with rape and sexual assault up 67%, robbery up 38%, and aggravated assault up 62%. 

• That’s the largest four-year increase in the survey’s 52-year history.
• The contrast with Trump’s first term is stark...