New Hampshire Predicts 78% of GOP Nominees Despite Only 82% Resemblance with U.S.

New Hampshire Predicts 78% of GOP Nominees Despite Only 82% Resemblance with U.S. | WalletHub®:
It’s primary season, and New Hampshire is first on the electoral docket — as usual.
Like the Iowa caucuses that precede it, the New Hampshire primary routinely invites a storm of media attention both for what some criticize as “unfairly” holding the earliest position in the primary-election cycle as well as reliably forecasting the Democratic and GOP nominees — with 56 and 78 percent accuracy, respectively.
The mystery that baffles most about the impressive predictive abilities of the New Hampshire primary is grounded in the fact that the state is largely rural with a relatively tiny and demographically homogeneous population.
New Hampshire’s roughly 1.3 million residents are 94.0 percent white, compared with the nation’s 77.4 percent.
Those two simplifications summarize why critics so readily dismiss the state as “unrepresentative” of the U.S. and therefore unworthy to serve as the first litmus test for effectiveness of a candidate’s platform.