This Time Is Not Different: Why The Market Is Heading For A Fall

This Time Is Not Different: Why The Market Is Heading For A Fall | David Stockman's Contra Corner:

The 2008 Wall Street meltdown is long forgotten, having been washed away by a tsunami of central bank liquidity. 

Indeed, the S&P is up nearly 200% from its March 2009 low. 

Yet four cardinal measures of Main Street economic health convey nothing like a 2X pick-up from the post-crisis bottom.

To wit, in June the count of  breadwinner jobs was 68.5 million or 5% below were it stood as the crisis got underway. Likewise, business investment in real plant and equipment is still 5% below its late 2007 peak. So too with the real median family income at about $53k—its still down by 6%. And unlike past cycles where safety net programs like food stamps shed recipients as the recovery gained momentum, there are still nearly 47 million Americans in the program compared to 30 million in March 2009.