The committee considers a wide range of economy-wide, monthly data points, but the NBER views GDP as “the single best measure.”
The committee calls a recession once there is a significant decline across these measures for more than a few months.
Using this measure, here's a few insights:
- From 1855 to 2020, recessions lasted an average of 17 months.
- In the 20th and 21st centuries, the average recession has decreased to 14 months....
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