🎯 2000
🎯 2008
🎯 2012
🎯 2013
🎯 2016
🎯 2017
🎯 2018
🎯 2019
🎯 2020
and now,
🎯 2027
Most of these were predictions made by scientists, but were not necessarily published in the literature.
The CMIP5 and CMIP6 models project that the first September (the month with the Northern Hemispheric sea ice minimum) with “ice-free” conditions in the Arctic (i.e., the monthly mean sea ice extent, SIE, falls below one million km²) will occur sometime in the 2040s, perhaps as early as the mid-to-late 2030s.
🔗 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-38511-8
and now,
🎯 2027
Most of these were predictions made by scientists, but were not necessarily published in the literature.
The CMIP5 and CMIP6 models project that the first September (the month with the Northern Hemispheric sea ice minimum) with “ice-free” conditions in the Arctic (i.e., the monthly mean sea ice extent, SIE, falls below one million km²) will occur sometime in the 2040s, perhaps as early as the mid-to-late 2030s.
🔗 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-38511-8
- But, if I had to make an educated guess, I would say that this probably won't happen either.
- These doom and gloom predictions do more to undermine the public's trust in science than to restore their standing with the general public.
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