Thursday, April 23, 2020

There are lies, damned lies and epidemiological models | Spectator USA

There are lies, damned lies and epidemiological models | Spectator USA
"...Our neighborhood association issues frequent, increasingly shrill bulletins. 
Most appeal to the authority of the CDC, warning us and our children
  •  to stay at home, 
  • wear a mask and, should we dare to venture out, to 
  • keep at least six feet apart from one another. 
  • We are forbidden from congregating in public spaces. 
  • We are discouraged from socializing with friends inside. 

See the source image...The situation is not aided by the fact that every organization that any of us has ever dealt with is bombarding us around the clock with nauseating messages about everything they are doing during these ‘troubled’ or ‘stressful’ or ‘unprecedented’ times (translation: they are doing nothing but virtue-signaling). 
...Network newsmen are doing their best to impersonate the protagonist of Edvard Munch’s painting ‘The Scream’. 
Hysteria, not accuracy, is the order of the day. 
A case in point was the footage aired by CBS that purportedly depicted the chaos of an overrun hospital in the US. 
Only after the network was called out did it admit its ‘mistake’ in airing footage from an Italian hospital. 
...On April 3, several weeks into the outbreak, the US has had about 7,000 fatalities. 
So what if the model is wrong?
‘But a couple of weeks ago you said there would only be hundreds of deaths.’ 
Yes, I did. I got that wrong, but just how wrong is not clear...
Dr John Lee, writing in The Spectator, made the important point that there is ‘a big difference between COVID-19 causing death, and COVID-19 being found in someone who died of other causes’..."
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