- The normal scoring used is well below 10 "future fatal crashes".
Facing the Congress, Dickson had to answer on an internal forecast of the regulator dating from December 2018, two months after the Lion Air crash.
The memo suggested that, without modification, the MCAS design flaw in the 737 MAX "could result in as many as 15 future fatal crashes over the life of the fleet ".
This translates into one crash every three years during the 45 years of the estimated life of the program, potentially leading to the death of 2,900 people.
But the administration did not take any measure following that report..."
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