Thursday, April 09, 2026

Why weather prediction got brilliant – but not climate predictions

So let’s have a look at why the weather predictions have got so much better in the last decades. - NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT - Paul Homewood
There are four reasons, and we’re only going to concentrate on one.
  • The first is that we have a better handle on the physics of the atmosphere...
  • The second thing is we’ve got much bigger computers...
  • The third reason, and this starts to get important now, is that we now have huge amounts of data from the recent past...
  • But the fourth reason is very, very important...It turns out that to make a weather prediction for tomorrow, it helps a lot if you know really well — everywhere — what the weather is today.
Now, to understand this, we need to look closely at how weather and climate models work, how they are the same, and how they’re different...


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